Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.221216 0.257739 0.300507 0.354830 0.422776 0.506017 0.617398
2025-02-16 0.167461 0.212960 0.273012 0.360363 0.488281 0.675894 0.986835
2025-02-23 0.136158 0.184154 0.253227 0.364667 0.550201 0.868793 1.517755
2025-03-02 0.115392 0.163441 0.237324 0.366801 0.606896 1.081779 2.266202
2025-03-09 0.099952 0.146743 0.222554 0.364703 0.653690 1.303197 3.281858
2025-03-16 0.087466 0.132081 0.207441 0.356781 0.685033 1.512059 4.573605
2025-03-23 0.080435 0.124989 0.203535 0.368534 0.763458 1.898138 7.273577
2025-03-30 0.072292 0.114655 0.191687 0.360633 0.792176 2.169972 10.295357
2025-04-06 0.067062 0.108666 0.186836 0.366444 0.859623 2.640423 16.601927
2025-04-13 0.061562 0.101426 0.178269 0.361501 0.895340 3.038221 25.178711
2025-04-20 0.057932 0.097196 0.175053 0.368591 0.972324 3.727451 45.522814
2025-04-27 0.055142 0.094207 0.173902 0.380634 1.073733 4.724235 97.548544
2025-05-04 0.052258 0.090775 0.171440 0.389252 1.172360 5.953990 244.906560
2025-05-11 0.049839 0.088010 0.170077 0.400904 1.293956 7.729533 928.146446
2025-05-18 0.047343 0.084804 0.167210 0.407549 1.401939 9.831586 6455.288129
2025-05-25 0.044892 0.081428 0.163441 0.410540 1.498136 12.319605 512750.264807
2025-06-01 0.042414 0.077742 0.158407 0.408267 1.569044 14.976524 NaN
2025-06-08 0.039847 0.073626 0.151775 0.399134 1.598830 17.314125 NaN
2025-06-15 0.038565 0.072206 0.151744 0.412773 1.775732 24.296648 NaN
2025-06-22 0.036407 0.068638 0.145720 0.403616 1.805598 28.367214 NaN
2025-06-29 0.035077 0.066827 0.144089 0.410355 1.952352 38.765771 NaN
2025-07-06 0.033374 0.064021 0.139458 0.404624 2.007982 47.426648 NaN
2025-07-13 0.032307 0.062598 0.138422 0.412846 2.184161 68.776525 NaN